‹2026 · Week 6›

NFL · Week 6

14 gamesodds 33 h old

Season picks

StatusSort

No validated markets here: every row below is experimental or insufficient.

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville JaguarsSun 1:30 PM

Houston Texans

ML1-4-48.9%SOS 19th-hardestAway1-1-4.7%

ATS1-4-61.4%Away1-1-5.5%

O/U2-3-24.5%Away0-2-100.0%

DOGML 0-1ATS 0-1

Proj19.6

Win35

Jacksonville Jaguars

ML4-1+26.9%SOS 16th-hardestHome3-0+30.3%

ATS3-2+14.8%Home2-1+23.9%

O/U1-4-62.9%Home1-2-37.9%

FAVML 3-0ATS 2-1

Proj24.6

Win65

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	HOU +120JAC −142	HOU +185JAC −185	−8.6 pp+8.6 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book HOU 43.6% / JAC 56.4%HOU insufficientJAC weak	33h
Spread	HOU +2.5 @ −105JAC −2.5 @ −115	HOU +5.09 · +137JAC −5.09 · −137	−6.7 pp+6.7 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book HOU 48.9% / JAC 51.1%HOU insufficientJAC weak	33h
Total	O 42.5 @ −112U 42.5 @ −108	O 44.19 · −122U 44.19 · +122	+4.5 pp−4.5 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.4% / U 49.6%O weakU insufficient	33h

MLHOU +120model HOU +185−8.6 pp
JAC −142model JAC −185+8.6 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book HOU 43.6% / JAC 56.4%HOU insufficientJAC weak
insufficientage 33h
SpreadHOU +2.5 @ −105model HOU +5.09 · +137−6.7 pp
JAC −2.5 @ −115model JAC −5.09 · −137+6.7 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book HOU 48.9% / JAC 51.1%HOU insufficientJAC weak
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 42.5 @ −112model O 44.19 · −122+4.5 pp
U 42.5 @ −108model U 44.19 · +122−4.5 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.4% / U 49.6%O weakU insufficient
insufficientage 33h

Open game

New Orleans Saints @ New York GiantsSun 5:00 PM

New Orleans Saints

ML1-4-36.3%SOS 6th-hardestAway1-1+97.5%

ATS2-3-23.4%Away2-0+88.9%

O/U3-2+14.6%Away1-1-4.5%

FAVML 0-2ATS 0-2

Proj22.2

Win43

New York Giants

ML3-1+47.2%SOS 32nd-hardestHome3-0+106.1%

ATS4-1+54.0%Home3-0+90.1%

O/U2-3-22.8%Home1-2-35.6%

DOGML 2-1ATS 3-1

Proj24.5

Win57

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	NEW −112NEW −108	NEW +132NEW −132	−7.3 pp+7.3 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book NEW 50.4% / NEW 49.6%NEW insufficientNEW weak	33h
Spread	NEW −1.5 @ +100NEW +1.5 @ −120	NEW +2.3 · +158NEW −2.3 · −158	−9.1 pp+9.1 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book NEW 47.8% / NEW 52.2%NEW insufficientNEW weak	33h
Total	O 45.5 @ −112U 45.5 @ −108	O 46.74 · −116U 46.74 · +116	+3.2 pp−3.2 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.4% / U 49.6%O insufficientU insufficient	33h

MLNEW −112model NEW +132−7.3 pp
NEW −108model NEW −132+7.3 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book NEW 50.4% / NEW 49.6%NEW insufficientNEW weak
insufficientage 33h
SpreadNEW −1.5 @ +100model NEW +2.3 · +158−9.1 pp
NEW +1.5 @ −120model NEW −2.3 · −158+9.1 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book NEW 47.8% / NEW 52.2%NEW insufficientNEW weak
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 45.5 @ −112model O 46.74 · −116+3.2 pp
U 45.5 @ −108model U 46.74 · +116−3.2 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.4% / U 49.6%O insufficientU insufficient
insufficientage 33h

Open game

Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia EaglesSun 5:00 PM

Carolina Panthers

ML2-2+2.4%SOS 24th-hardestAway1-1-15.8%

ATS2-2-2.3%Away1-1-4.3%

O/U2-2-5.7%Away0-2-100.0%

FAVML 1-1ATS 1-1

Proj24.4

Win52

Philadelphia Eagles

ML2-3-19.7%SOS 17th-hardestHome1-10.0%

ATS1-4-62.8%Home0-2-100.0%

O/U3-2+14.8%Home2-0+89.7%

DOGML 0-2ATS 1-1

Proj23.6

Win48

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	CAR −115PHI −105	CAR −110PHI +110	+1.4 pp−1.4 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book CAR 51.1% / PHI 48.9%CAR insufficientPHI insufficient	33h
Spread	CAR −1.5 @ −102PHI +1.5 @ −118	CAR −0.81 · +109PHI +0.81 · −109	−0.3 pp+0.3 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book CAR 48.3% / PHI 51.7%CAR insufficientPHI insufficient	33h
Total	O 40.5 @ −102U 40.5 @ −118	O 48.09 · −246U 48.09 · +246	+22.9 pp−22.9 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 48.3% / U 51.7%O weakU insufficient	33h

MLCAR −115model CAR −110+1.4 pp
PHI −105model PHI +110−1.4 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book CAR 51.1% / PHI 48.9%CAR insufficientPHI insufficient
insufficientage 33h
SpreadCAR −1.5 @ −102model CAR −0.81 · +109−0.3 pp
PHI +1.5 @ −118model PHI +0.81 · −109+0.3 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book CAR 48.3% / PHI 51.7%CAR insufficientPHI insufficient
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 40.5 @ −102model O 48.09 · −246+22.9 pp
U 40.5 @ −118model U 48.09 · +246−22.9 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 48.3% / U 51.7%O weakU insufficient
insufficientage 33h

Open game

New York Jets @ New England PatriotsSun 5:00 PM

New York Jets

ML2-3-18.6%SOS 20th-hardestAway1-2-33.1%

ATS3-2+17.0%Away1-2-33.4%

O/U1-4-61.2%Away1-2-34.6%

DOGML 1-3ATS 2-2

Proj17.5

Win31

New England Patriots

ML3-2+33.2%SOS 1st-hardestHome2-0+47.4%

ATS3-1-1+32.6%Home2-0+89.3%

O/U2-3-23.7%Home1-1-3.8%

FAVML 2-0ATS 2-0

Proj24.3

Win69

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	NEW +260NEW −325	NEW +228NEW −228	+3.9 pp−3.9 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book NEW 26.7% / NEW 73.4%NEW insufficientNEW insufficient	33h
Spread	NEW +7.5 @ −115NEW −7.5 @ −105	NEW +6.76 · −109NEW −6.76 · +109	+1.1 pp−1.1 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book NEW 51.1% / NEW 48.9%NEW insufficientNEW insufficient	33h
Total	O 43.5 @ −112U 43.5 @ −108	O 41.82 · +122U 41.82 · −122	−5.3 pp+5.3 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.4% / U 49.6%O insufficientU insufficient	33h

MLNEW +260model NEW +228+3.9 pp
NEW −325model NEW −228−3.9 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book NEW 26.7% / NEW 73.4%NEW insufficientNEW insufficient
insufficientage 33h
SpreadNEW +7.5 @ −115model NEW +6.76 · −109+1.1 pp
NEW −7.5 @ −105model NEW −6.76 · +109−1.1 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book NEW 51.1% / NEW 48.9%NEW insufficientNEW insufficient
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 43.5 @ −112model O 41.82 · +122−5.3 pp
U 43.5 @ −108model U 41.82 · −122+5.3 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.4% / U 49.6%O insufficientU insufficient
insufficientage 33h

Open game

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun 5:00 PM

Pittsburgh Steelers

ML3-2+14.3%SOS 11th-hardestAway0-2-100.0%

ATS3-2+12.7%Away0-2-100.0%

O/U3-2+14.7%Away1-1-3.8%

FAVML 2-1ATS 2-1

Proj22.7

Win49

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

ML1-4-44.6%SOS 29th-hardestHome0-3-100.0%

ATS1-3-1-42.0%Home0-2-1-67.6%

O/U2-3-24.5%Home1-2-37.2%

DOGML 1-3ATS 1-2-1

Proj23.0

Win51

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	PIT −148TAM +124	PIT +104TAM −104	−8.1 pp+8.1 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book PIT 57.2% / TAM 42.8%PIT insufficientTAM weak	33h
Spread	PIT −2.5 @ −112TAM +2.5 @ −108	PIT +0.29 · +140TAM −0.29 · −140	−8.8 pp+8.8 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book PIT 50.4% / TAM 49.6%PIT insufficientTAM weak	33h
Total	O 39.5 @ −115U 39.5 @ −105	O 45.71 · −208U 45.71 · +208	+16.5 pp−16.5 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 51.1% / U 48.9%O weakU insufficient	33h

MLPIT −148model PIT +104−8.1 pp
TAM +124model TAM −104+8.1 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book PIT 57.2% / TAM 42.8%PIT insufficientTAM weak
insufficientage 33h
SpreadPIT −2.5 @ −112model PIT +0.29 · +140−8.8 pp
TAM +2.5 @ −108model TAM −0.29 · −140+8.8 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book PIT 50.4% / TAM 49.6%PIT insufficientTAM weak
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 39.5 @ −115model O 45.71 · −208+16.5 pp
U 39.5 @ −105model U 45.71 · +208−16.5 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 51.1% / U 48.9%O weakU insufficient
insufficientage 33h

Open game

Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis ColtsSun 5:00 PM

Tennessee Titans

ML0-5-100.0%SOS 30th-hardestAway0-2-100.0%

ATS2-3-23.6%Away1-1-4.5%

O/U1-4-61.7%Away0-2-100.0%

DOGML 0-4ATS 2-2

Proj18.8

Win31

Indianapolis Colts

ML2-3-15.9%SOS 10th-hardestHome1-1+1.0%

ATS3-2+14.3%Home1-1-8.8%

O/U3-2+15.3%Home1-1-5.3%

FAVML 1-0ATS 1-0

Proj25.6

Win69

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	TEN +275IND −345	TEN +228IND −228	+4.9 pp−4.9 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book TEN 25.6% / IND 74.4%TEN weakIND insufficient	33h
Spread	TEN +7 @ −115IND −7 @ −105	TEN +6.77 · −103IND −6.77 · +103	−0.4 pp+0.4 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book TEN 51.1% / IND 48.9%TEN insufficientIND insufficient	33h
Total	O 44.5 @ −112U 44.5 @ −108	O 44.45 · +101U 44.45 · −101	−0.6 pp+0.6 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.4% / U 49.6%O insufficientU insufficient	33h

MLTEN +275model TEN +228+4.9 pp
IND −345model IND −228−4.9 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book TEN 25.6% / IND 74.4%TEN weakIND insufficient
insufficientage 33h
SpreadTEN +7 @ −115model TEN +6.77 · −103−0.4 pp
IND −7 @ −105model IND −6.77 · +103+0.4 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book TEN 51.1% / IND 48.9%TEN insufficientIND insufficient
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 44.5 @ −112model O 44.45 · +101−0.6 pp
U 44.5 @ −108model U 44.45 · −101+0.6 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.4% / U 49.6%O insufficientU insufficient
insufficientage 33h

Open game

Chicago Bears @ Atlanta FalconsSun 5:00 PM

Chicago Bears

ML3-2+2.1%SOS 26th-hardestAway1-1-8.3%

ATS3-2+13.8%Away1-1-5.2%

O/U1-4-60.5%Away1-1-0.9%

FAVML 2-2ATS 2-2

Proj23.8

Win51

Atlanta Falcons

ML2-3-12.7%SOS 21st-hardestHome0-2-100.0%

ATS2-3-21.2%Home0-2-100.0%

O/U3-2+13.7%Home1-1-4.4%

DOGML 2-2ATS 2-2

Proj23.6

Win49

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	CHI −115ATL −105	CHI −102ATL +102	−0.5 pp+0.5 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book CHI 51.1% / ATL 48.9%CHI insufficientATL insufficient	33h
Spread	CHI −1.5 @ −102ATL +1.5 @ −118	CHI −0.2 · +117ATL +0.2 · −117	−2.2 pp+2.2 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book CHI 48.3% / ATL 51.7%CHI insufficientATL insufficient	33h
Total	O 51.5 @ −102U 51.5 @ −118	O 47.36 · +163U 47.36 · −163	−10.2 pp+10.2 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 48.3% / U 51.7%O insufficientU weak	33h

MLCHI −115model CHI −102−0.5 pp
ATL −105model ATL +102+0.5 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book CHI 51.1% / ATL 48.9%CHI insufficientATL insufficient
insufficientage 33h
SpreadCHI −1.5 @ −102model CHI −0.2 · +117−2.2 pp
ATL +1.5 @ −118model ATL +0.2 · −117+2.2 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book CHI 48.3% / ATL 51.7%CHI insufficientATL insufficient
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 51.5 @ −102model O 47.36 · +163−10.2 pp
U 51.5 @ −118model U 47.36 · −163+10.2 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 48.3% / U 51.7%O insufficientU weak
insufficientage 33h

Open game

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland BrownsSun 5:00 PM

Baltimore Ravens

ML4-1+4.6%SOS 28th-hardestAway3-0+79.0%

ATS2-2-1-2.7%Away2-0-1+59.5%

O/U3-2+15.4%Away3-0+88.8%

FAVML 3-1ATS 1-2-1

Proj25.6

Win62

Cleveland Browns

ML3-2+75.6%SOS 18th-hardestHome2-0+124.0%

ATS3-2+15.1%Home2-0+95.2%

O/U3-2+13.5%Home1-1-6.8%

DOGML 3-2ATS 3-2

Proj21.4

Win38

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	BAL −258CLE +210	BAL −166CLE +166	−6.7 pp+6.7 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book BAL 69.1% / CLE 30.9%BAL insufficientCLE weak	33h
Spread	BAL −5.5 @ −105CLE +5.5 @ −115	BAL −4.2 · +117CLE +4.2 · −117	−2.8 pp+2.8 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book BAL 48.9% / CLE 51.1%BAL insufficientCLE insufficient	33h
Total	O 42.5 @ −118U 42.5 @ −102	O 46.9 · −168U 46.9 · +168	+10.9 pp−10.9 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 51.7% / U 48.3%O weakU insufficient	33h

MLBAL −258model BAL −166−6.7 pp
CLE +210model CLE +166+6.7 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book BAL 69.1% / CLE 30.9%BAL insufficientCLE weak
insufficientage 33h
SpreadBAL −5.5 @ −105model BAL −4.2 · +117−2.8 pp
CLE +5.5 @ −115model CLE +4.2 · −117+2.8 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book BAL 48.9% / CLE 51.1%BAL insufficientCLE insufficient
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 42.5 @ −118model O 46.9 · −168+10.9 pp
U 42.5 @ −102model U 46.9 · +168−10.9 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 51.7% / U 48.3%O weakU insufficient
insufficientage 33h

Open game

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles RamsSun 8:05 PM

Arizona Cardinals

ML1-4-8.4%SOS 3rd-hardestAway1-2+46.3%

ATS2-3-22.9%Away2-1+26.8%

O/U3-2+14.0%Away2-1+29.9%

DOGML 1-3ATS 2-2

Proj20.9

Win26

Los Angeles Rams

ML2-3-30.3%SOS 9th-hardestHome1-2-40.7%

ATS2-3-23.4%Home1-2-35.8%

O/U3-2+14.3%Home1-2-35.1%

FAVML 2-3ATS 2-3

Proj29.5

Win74

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	ARI +600LOS −900	ARI +287LOS −287	+12.1 pp−12.1 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book ARI 13.7% / LOS 86.3%ARI weakLOS insufficient	33h
Spread	ARI +12.5 @ −108LOS −12.5 @ −112	ARI +8.61 · −160LOS −8.61 · +160	+11.9 pp−11.9 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book ARI 49.6% / LOS 50.4%ARI weakLOS insufficient	33h
Total	O 51.5 @ −110U 51.5 @ −110	O 50.33 · +115U 50.33 · −115	−3.4 pp+3.4 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.0% / U 50.0%O insufficientU insufficient	33h

MLARI +600model ARI +287+12.1 pp
LOS −900model LOS −287−12.1 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book ARI 13.7% / LOS 86.3%ARI weakLOS insufficient
insufficientage 33h
SpreadARI +12.5 @ −108model ARI +8.61 · −160+11.9 pp
LOS −12.5 @ −112model LOS −8.61 · +160−11.9 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book ARI 49.6% / LOS 50.4%ARI weakLOS insufficient
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 51.5 @ −110model O 50.33 · +115−3.4 pp
U 51.5 @ −110model U 50.33 · −115+3.4 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.0% / U 50.0%O insufficientU insufficient
insufficientage 33h

Open game

Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas RaidersSun 8:25 PM

Buffalo Bills

ML4-1+13.7%SOS 7th-hardestAway2-0+115.6%

ATS4-1+53.8%Away2-0+88.5%

O/U4-1+52.6%Away2-0+87.7%

FAVML 3-1ATS 3-1

Proj28.0

Win58

Las Vegas Raiders

ML3-2+54.6%SOS 13th-hardestHome1-10.0%

ATS4-1+53.9%Home2-0+90.9%

O/U3-2+15.4%Home1-1-2.3%

DOGML 2-2ATS 3-1

Proj25.4

Win42

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	BUF −258LAS +210	BUF −137LAS +137	−11.3 pp+11.3 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book BUF 69.1% / LAS 30.9%BUF insufficientLAS weak	33h
Spread	BUF −5.5 @ −105LAS +5.5 @ −115	BUF −2.59 · +142LAS +2.59 · −142	−7.6 pp+7.6 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book BUF 48.9% / LAS 51.1%BUF insufficientLAS weak	33h
Total	O 53.5 @ −110U 53.5 @ −110	O 53.47 · +100U 53.47 · −100	−0.1 pp+0.1 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.0% / U 50.0%O insufficientU insufficient	33h

MLBUF −258model BUF −137−11.3 pp
LAS +210model LAS +137+11.3 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book BUF 69.1% / LAS 30.9%BUF insufficientLAS weak
insufficientage 33h
SpreadBUF −5.5 @ −105model BUF −2.59 · +142−7.6 pp
LAS +5.5 @ −115model LAS +2.59 · −142+7.6 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book BUF 48.9% / LAS 51.1%BUF insufficientLAS weak
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 53.5 @ −110model O 53.47 · +100−0.1 pp
U 53.5 @ −110model U 53.47 · −100+0.1 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.0% / U 50.0%O insufficientU insufficient
insufficientage 33h

Open game

Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City ChiefsSun 8:25 PM

Los Angeles Chargers

ML0-5-100.0%SOS 5th-hardestAway0-2-100.0%

ATS0-4-1-80.9%Away0-1-1-50.0%

O/U1-4-60.6%Away1-1-2.2%

DOGML 0-3ATS 0-2-1

Proj18.7

Win25

Kansas City Chiefs

ML4-0+34.6%SOS 25th-hardestHome2-0+50.6%

ATS2-2-5.2%Home1-1-3.7%

O/U2-2-3.0%Home1-1-3.8%

FAVML 4-0ATS 2-2

Proj27.6

Win75

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	LOS +370KAN −485	LOS +297KAN −297	+4.8 pp−4.8 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book LOS 20.4% / KAN 79.6%LOS weakKAN insufficient	33h
Spread	LOS +8.5 @ −115KAN −8.5 @ −105	LOS +8.87 · +105KAN −8.87 · −105	−2.2 pp+2.2 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book LOS 51.1% / KAN 48.9%LOS insufficientKAN insufficient	33h
Total	O 42.5 @ −108U 42.5 @ −112	O 46.31 · −157U 46.31 · +157	+11.4 pp−11.4 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 49.6% / U 50.4%O weakU insufficient	33h

MLLOS +370model LOS +297+4.8 pp
KAN −485model KAN −297−4.8 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book LOS 20.4% / KAN 79.6%LOS weakKAN insufficient
insufficientage 33h
SpreadLOS +8.5 @ −115model LOS +8.87 · +105−2.2 pp
KAN −8.5 @ −105model KAN −8.87 · −105+2.2 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book LOS 51.1% / KAN 48.9%LOS insufficientKAN insufficient
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 42.5 @ −108model O 46.31 · −157+11.4 pp
U 42.5 @ −112model U 46.31 · +157−11.4 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 49.6% / U 50.4%O weakU insufficient
insufficientage 33h

Open game

Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay PackersMon 12:20 AM

Dallas Cowboys

ML2-3-48.4%SOS 23rd-hardestAway1-1-14.5%

ATS2-2-1-3.6%Away1-1-2.3%

O/U3-2+14.9%Away1-1-2.3%

DOGML 1-1ATS 1-0-1

Proj25.4

Win51

Green Bay Packers

ML3-2-5.0%SOS 31st-hardestHome1-1-40.6%

ATS1-3-1-43.1%Home1-1-6.7%

O/U2-3-23.5%Home1-1-0.9%

FAVML 2-1ATS 0-2-1

Proj25.0

Win49

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	DAL +102GRE −122	DAL −104GRE +104	+3.7 pp−3.7 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book DAL 47.4% / GRE 52.6%DAL insufficientGRE insufficient	33h
Spread	DAL +1.5 @ −115GRE −1.5 @ −105	DAL −0.35 · −125GRE +0.35 · +125	+4.5 pp−4.5 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book DAL 51.1% / GRE 48.9%DAL weakGRE insufficient	33h
Total	O 53.5 @ −105U 53.5 @ −115	O 50.43 · +143U 50.43 · −143	−7.8 pp+7.8 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 48.9% / U 51.1%O insufficientU weak	33h

MLDAL +102model DAL −104+3.7 pp
GRE −122model GRE +104−3.7 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book DAL 47.4% / GRE 52.6%DAL insufficientGRE insufficient
insufficientage 33h
SpreadDAL +1.5 @ −115model DAL −0.35 · −125+4.5 pp
GRE −1.5 @ −105model GRE +0.35 · +125−4.5 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book DAL 51.1% / GRE 48.9%DAL weakGRE insufficient
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 53.5 @ −105model O 50.43 · +143−7.8 pp
U 53.5 @ −115model U 50.43 · −143+7.8 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 48.9% / U 51.1%O insufficientU weak
insufficientage 33h

Open game

Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ersTue 12:15 AM

Washington Commanders

ML1-3+3.5%SOS 8th-hardestAway0-2-100.0%

ATS2-3-21.1%Away1-10.0%

O/U4-1+53.4%Away2-0+88.9%

DOGML 1-3ATS 2-2

Proj20.4

Win23

San Francisco 49ers

ML5-0+35.7%SOS 12th-hardestHome3-0+20.1%

ATS4-1+55.6%Home2-1+28.9%

O/U3-2+15.9%Home2-1+29.2%

FAVML 3-0ATS 2-1

Proj30.3

Win77

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	WAS +330SAN −425	WAS +337SAN −337	+0.6 pp−0.6 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book WAS 22.3% / SAN 77.7%WAS insufficientSAN insufficient	33h
Spread	WAS +7.5 @ −112SAN −7.5 @ −108	WAS +9.86 · +133SAN −9.86 · −133	−7.5 pp+7.5 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book WAS 50.4% / SAN 49.6%WAS insufficientSAN weak	33h
Total	O 50.5 @ −120U 50.5 @ +100	O 50.72 · −103U 50.72 · +103	−1.5 pp+1.5 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 52.2% / U 47.8%O insufficientU insufficient	33h

MLWAS +330model WAS +337+0.6 pp
SAN −425model SAN −337−0.6 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book WAS 22.3% / SAN 77.7%WAS insufficientSAN insufficient
insufficientage 33h
SpreadWAS +7.5 @ −112model WAS +9.86 · +133−7.5 pp
SAN −7.5 @ −108model SAN −9.86 · −133+7.5 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book WAS 50.4% / SAN 49.6%WAS insufficientSAN weak
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 50.5 @ −120model O 50.72 · −103−1.5 pp
U 50.5 @ +100model U 50.72 · +103+1.5 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 52.2% / U 47.8%O insufficientU insufficient
insufficientage 33h

Open game

Seattle Seahawks @ Denver BroncosFri 12:15 AM

Seattle Seahawks

ML3-2-21.1%SOS 15th-hardestAway1-1-50.4%

ATS1-2-2-21.1%Away1-1-2.2%

O/U3-2+13.7%Away1-1-8.0%

FAVML 3-2ATS 1-2-2

Proj24.8

Win59

Denver Broncos

ML3-2+17.2%SOS 2nd-hardestHome2-0+84.7%

ATS3-2+12.0%Home2-0+87.7%

O/U1-4-60.8%Home1-1-4.4%

DOGML 1-2ATS 1-2

Proj21.8

Win41

Market	Book	Model	Disagree	Status	Evidence	Age
ML	SEA −142DEN +120	SEA −143DEN +143	+2.5 pp−2.5 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book SEA 56.4% / DEN 43.6%SEA insufficientDEN insufficient	33h
Spread	SEA −2.5 @ −112DEN +2.5 @ −108	SEA −2.96 · −106DEN +2.96 · +106	+0.9 pp−0.9 pp	insufficient	σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book SEA 50.4% / DEN 49.6%SEA insufficientDEN insufficient	33h
Total	O 40.5 @ −112U 40.5 @ −108	O 46.58 · −205U 46.58 · +205	+16.8 pp−16.8 pp	insufficient	σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.4% / U 49.6%O weakU insufficient	33h

MLSEA −142model SEA −143+2.5 pp
DEN +120model DEN +143−2.5 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book SEA 56.4% / DEN 43.6%SEA insufficientDEN insufficient
insufficientage 33h
SpreadSEA −2.5 @ −112model SEA −2.96 · −106+0.9 pp
DEN +2.5 @ −108model DEN +2.96 · +106−0.9 pp
σ 13.3 · n 1420 · book SEA 50.4% / DEN 49.6%SEA insufficientDEN insufficient
insufficientage 33h
TotalO 40.5 @ −112model O 46.58 · −205+16.8 pp
U 40.5 @ −108model U 46.58 · +205−16.8 pp
σ 13.6 · n 1420 · book O 50.4% / U 49.6%O weakU insufficient
insufficientage 33h

Open game