NCAALAX 2026 Rankings

Ordered by the projection model's own ratings. Every column sorts; definitions are below the table.


#1	Duke Blue Devils	3	+2.4	1.131	0.923	19.7	7.0	1.022	0.990	1.006
#2	Ohio State Buckeyes	4	+2.3	1.077	0.882	15.3	6.3	1.039	0.940	0.990
#3	Syracuse Orange	3	+2.0	1.063	0.889	14.7	5.7	0.987	1.010	0.998
#4	Denver Pioneers	3	+2.0	1.017	0.843	12.7	3.3	1.017	0.936	0.976
#5	Michigan Wolverines	4	+1.9	1.070	0.906	15.5	7.5	1.033	0.982	1.007
#6	Richmond Spiders	3	+1.9	1.094	0.931	16.7	8.0	1.038	1.008	1.023
#7	North Carolina Tar Heels	3	+1.7	1.103	0.951	18.0	8.7	1.032	0.984	1.008
#8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2	+1.6	1.137	0.995	22.5	10.5	1.057	0.967	1.012
#9	Drexel Dragons	3	+1.4	1.006	0.884	11.7	5.7	1.010	0.977	0.994
#10	Johns Hopkins Blue Jays	3	+1.3	1.033	0.916	14.3	6.7	1.039	0.976	1.008
#11	Boston Univ. Terriers	3	+1.2	1.042	0.936	14.0	8.3	0.974	1.010	0.992
#12	Jacksonville Dolphins	3	+1.1	1.027	0.929	13.3	8.0	1.002	0.995	0.999
#13	Bucknell Bison	4	+1.1	1.033	0.936	13.3	8.5	1.047	0.932	0.990
#14	Army Knights	3	+1.1	1.020	0.928	12.3	7.7	0.975	1.008	0.992
#15	Harvard Crimson	2	+1.0	1.018	0.933	13.5	6.0	1.022	0.993	1.008
#16	Massachusetts Minutemen	3	+1.0	1.034	0.950	13.3	9.0	1.011	0.978	0.994
#17	Monmouth Hawks	3	+1.0	1.027	0.943	12.7	8.3	1.000	0.963	0.981
#18	Lehigh Mountain Hawks	3	+0.9	1.068	0.988	14.3	11.3	1.013	0.984	0.999
#19	Sacred Heart Pioneers	4	+0.8	1.065	0.993	14.5	11.0	1.018	0.978	0.998
#20	Maryland Terrapins	2	+0.8	1.050	0.981	14.0	10.5	0.975	1.016	0.995
#21	Lafayette Leopards	4	+0.6	1.023	0.968	12.3	10.0	0.980	0.983	0.981
#22	Penn State Nittany Lions	3	+0.6	1.056	1.006	14.7	11.7	1.035	0.983	1.009
#23	Navy Midshipmen	3	+0.5	1.030	0.986	14.7	10.3	1.079	0.967	1.023
#24	Towson Tigers	2	+0.3	1.013	0.985	11.5	10.5	0.951	1.031	0.991
#25	NJIT Highlanders	3	+0.3	1.055	1.026	14.3	13.0	1.026	1.015	1.020
#26	LIU Sharks	2	+0.3	1.008	0.980	11.5	10.0	0.982	1.020	1.001
#27	Pennsylvania Quakers	2	+0.3	1.019	0.990	12.0	11.0	1.008	0.997	1.003
#28	Providence Friars	3	+0.3	1.003	0.978	11.7	10.3	0.995	0.992	0.993
#29	Virginia Cavaliers	2	+0.3	1.070	1.048	15.5	16.0	0.998	1.039	1.018
#30	Brown Bears	1	+0.3	1.001	0.979	10.0	8.0	1.004	0.998	1.001
#31	Utah Utes	3	+0.2	0.988	0.968	10.0	10.3	0.930	1.023	0.976
#32	Hobart Statesmen	2	+0.2	0.972	0.953	9.5	7.5	1.036	0.971	1.003
#33	Georgetown Hoyas	1	+0.2	1.009	0.992	12.0	9.0	0.990	1.019	1.004
#34	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	3	+0.2	1.002	0.985	11.3	10.7	0.968	1.016	0.992
#35	Mercer Bears	4	+0.2	1.008	0.994	13.0	11.3	1.049	1.009	1.029
#36	High Point Panthers	2	0.0	1.038	1.037	14.0	15.5	1.037	1.052	1.044
#37	Yale Bulldogs	2	0.0	0.989	0.990	10.5	10.5	0.979	0.999	0.989
#38	Cornell Big Red	1	0.0	0.999	1.002	11.0	10.0	1.025	0.985	1.005
#39	Fairfield Stags	3	−0.1	0.998	1.004	11.3	12.0	0.986	1.045	1.016
#40	Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers	2	−0.1	1.013	1.021	12.5	12.0	0.986	0.992	0.989
#41	Hofstra Pride	3	−0.1	0.971	0.980	10.7	10.0	1.050	0.960	1.005
#42	Vermont Catamounts	2	−0.1	1.018	1.027	11.5	15.0	0.957	1.053	1.005
#43	Holy Cross Crusaders	4	−0.1	0.990	1.001	11.0	11.5	0.990	0.997	0.993
#44	Queens University Royals	3	−0.2	0.976	0.992	10.3	11.0	1.040	0.970	1.005
#45	Siena Saints	3	−0.2	1.004	1.020	11.7	12.7	0.971	0.981	0.976
#46	UMass Lowell River Hawks	2	−0.3	1.018	1.041	13.0	14.0	1.099	0.939	1.019
#47	Detroit Mercy Titans	3	−0.3	0.977	1.001	10.0	12.7	0.967	1.037	1.002
#48	Villanova Wildcats	2	−0.3	0.994	1.020	11.5	12.0	1.024	0.997	1.011
#49	Albany Great Danes	2	−0.5	0.985	1.025	10.0	13.0	0.996	1.009	1.003
#50	Manhattan Jaspers	3	−0.5	0.956	0.998	9.0	11.3	0.967	0.995	0.981
#51	St. John's Red Storm	4	−0.5	1.010	1.055	12.8	13.5	1.043	0.999	1.021
#52	Canisius Golden Griffins	2	−0.5	0.960	1.005	8.0	11.5	1.027	0.942	0.984
#53	Stony Brook Seawolves	2	−0.5	1.000	1.046	11.0	15.0	0.989	1.033	1.011
#54	Dartmouth Big Green	1	−0.5	0.964	1.011	5.0	13.0	0.936	1.042	0.989
#55	Princeton Tigers	1	−0.5	0.972	1.019	7.0	13.0	1.006	1.056	1.031
#56	St. Bonaventure Bonnies	3	−0.6	0.941	0.989	8.7	10.3	1.001	0.971	0.986
#57	Marist Red Foxes	2	−0.6	0.978	1.030	9.0	14.0	0.992	0.998	0.995
#58	UMBC Retrievers	1	−0.6	0.987	1.040	8.0	15.0	0.884	1.006	0.945
#59	Merrimack Warriors	3	−0.7	0.948	1.008	8.7	12.0	1.000	0.997	0.999
#60	Binghamton Bearcats	3	−0.7	0.932	0.996	7.7	11.3	0.992	0.989	0.991
#61	Marquette Golden Eagles	2	−0.9	0.969	1.043	9.0	15.0	0.951	1.103	1.027
#62	Air Force Falcons	3	−0.9	0.939	1.013	8.0	12.0	0.898	1.039	0.968
#63	Colgate Raiders	4	−1.0	0.983	1.066	10.8	15.0	0.985	1.029	1.007
#64	Bryant Bulldogs	2	−1.0	0.967	1.050	8.5	14.5	0.993	0.976	0.984
#65	Loyola (MD) Greyhounds	2	−1.1	0.968	1.060	8.5	16.0	0.949	1.041	0.995
#66	Wagner Seahawks	3	−1.1	0.926	1.022	7.3	13.0	0.978	1.016	0.997
#67	Delaware Blue Hens	3	−1.2	0.921	1.022	7.3	12.7	0.969	1.001	0.985
#68	Saint Joseph's Hawks	2	−1.2	0.939	1.042	6.5	14.5	0.955	1.029	0.992
#69	Bellarmine Knights	5	−1.2	0.966	1.072	10.2	15.8	0.994	1.028	1.011
#70	VMI Keydets	3	−1.4	1.001	1.123	11.7	18.0	1.006	1.025	1.016
#71	Robert Morris Colonials	4	−1.4	0.948	1.072	9.0	15.0	0.943	1.025	0.984
#72	Quinnipiac Bobcats	3	−1.5	0.966	1.098	10.3	16.0	1.015	1.021	1.018
#73	Hampton Pirates	2	−1.7	0.964	1.113	8.5	19.0	0.998	0.992	0.995
#74	Mercyhurst Lakers	4	−2.2	0.913	1.101	8.5	15.8	1.006	1.003	1.005
#75	Cleveland St Vikings	3	−2.2	0.881	1.070	5.0	15.7	0.932	1.020	0.976
#76	Le Moyne Dolphins	2	−2.2	0.880	1.071	2.5	16.5	0.960	1.001	0.981
#77	Iona Gaels	5	−2.8	0.885	1.129	7.2	17.2	0.968	1.041	1.005

Definitions

L: League average goals per team per game this season.
H: Home advantage multiplier applied to the home team's projected goals.
Net: L × (Off − Def): the model's expected goal margin against a league-average opponent on a neutral field. Orders the rankings.
Off: Offensive multiplier fitted from results (1.00 = league average). The model projects a team for L × Off goals against an average defence.
Def: Defensive multiplier (1.00 = league average, lower is better). An average offence is projected for L × Def goals against this team.
SOS Off: Average defensive rating of opponents faced (schedule difficulty for scoring). v4 models nudge projections by this.
SOS Def: Average offensive rating of opponents faced (schedule difficulty for defending). v4 models nudge projections by this.
SOS: Overall strength of schedule from the same opponent ratings.
GF: Goals scored per game this season.
GA: Goals allowed per game this season.